Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as wages event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that maybe what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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